Member churn

Churn rate → MRR losses and base forecast

Input

Forecast

LTV: 24 000 ₴

+5

members/mo (net)

Churned/mo
15
MRR loss
18 000 ₴
Base in 6 mo
330
Base in 12 mo
360

Fitness churn: 3–8%/mo typical, >10% critical. A club is at equilibrium when new = churned. Member LTV ≈ monthly price ÷ churn: at 1,200 UAH and 5% = 24,000 UAH. Cutting churn by 1% is often cheaper than +20% sales.