Moving average & trend
Time series → SMA, trend direction, next point forecast
Value series (chronological)
SMA smooths noise: window 3 — sensitive, 7 — smooth. Trend — difference of latest SMAs vs previous. Simple forecast = last SMA + trend. For seasonal series use window = season length (7 for weekly seasonality of daily data).
Analysis
- SMA(3) last
- 131.0
- Trend
- +3.3
- Next forecast
- 134.3
SMA: 107.7 → 111.0 → 114.3 → 115.3 → 121.0 → 124.3 → 127.7 → 131.0